
Top Chatbot Arena model uses hidden CoT on July 25th, 2025
4
1kṀ1010Jul 26
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See the o1 blogpost for a description of hidden CoT, or this market:
/Soli/will-anthropic-release-a-model-that
This market resolves YES if such a model has the top "Overall" rank on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard anytime on the 25th of July, 2025 UTC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of May? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
96% chance
Which company has best AI model end of June? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
32% chance
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which models will be visible on the ChatGPT default model picker on Jun 28, 2025? (plus account)
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best AI model end of June? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
What will be the highest ELO on Chatbot Arena on Jan 1, 2025?