Will GPT-6 Sol out-benchmark Opus 5? | Manifold

Will GPT-6 Sol out-benchmark Opus 5?

2

Ṁ100Ṁ35

2027

71%

chance

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6H

1D

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1M

ALL

Update 2026-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the ECI benchmark.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

Whats the resolution oracle? AA benches? Or LM arena? Or ECI? Maybe something else?

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