MANIFOLD
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
25
Ṁ1kṀ6k
2030
40%
chance

The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.

Market context
Space
SpaceX
Moon
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opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 48% order

I opened 5 large NO limit orders below yesterday's market price (40%-48%), if someone is interested. They have an expiry date of 1 week.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Why is it written "*MOON*"? There should be one more definition of moon in the resolution criteria.

Just to clarify for other bettors and the creator:

I am betting under the understanding that "by" means 'before the end of', rather than 'before the beginning of'. This has been a long-standing issue on Manifold. In this case the end date and the other markets in the creator's series are the information I used.

@JoshuaWilkes Sorry about the confusion, I will re-word it to "by Dec 31st 2029"

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