MANIFOLD
Who will Zuck poach in 2025?
17
Ṁ1.1kṀ4.6k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES
Daniel Gross (CEO, Safe Superintelligence)
Resolved
NO
Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI co-founder, former chief scientist)
Resolved
NO
John Schulman (OpenAI co-founder)
Resolved
NO
Koray Kavukcuoglu (DeepMind AI architect)
Resolved
NO
Soham Parekh (rumored Meta recruitment target)
Resolved
NO
Daniel Vincent Kramer

YES if before Dec 31, 2025:

  • Public confirmation of accepting a role at Meta, OR

  • Credible reporting that the person accepted a formal offer from Meta in 2025.

❌ Rumors, declined offers, older negotiations, or indirect collaborations don’t count.

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bought Ṁ1 NO

sold my 2 shares of meta today; bearish on daniel vincent kramer

@predyx_markets Daniel Gross revolves yes? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-03/meta-hires-researcher-gross-to-join-new-ai-superintelligence-lab

”Gross will work on AI products for the superintelligence group, according to his spokesperson, Lulu Meservey.”

bought Ṁ1 YES

bullish on me

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