Trump visits China in May?
54
Ṁ1kṀ14kMay 31
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if:
Donald Trump physically visits mainland China (e.g., Beijing or any city in China)
The visit occurs on or before May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT
The visit is confirmed by:
Official government statements, or
A consensus of credible reporting
Resolves to NO if:
Trump does not visit China within the specified timeframe
The trip is canceled, indefinitely postponed, or delayed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT
A planned or announced trip does NOT count — the visit must occur
A layover without an official visit does NOT count
Virtual meetings or summits outside China do NOT count
Market may resolve immediately upon confirmed arrival in mainland China
If arrival time is unclear, first widely reported timestamp of landing/arrival will be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Trump visit China during his term?
95% chance
What month will Trump next visit China?
Will Trump visit Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai during his second term?
61% chance
Trump visits Australia in second term?
10% chance
Will Trump visit Mexico during his term?
25% chance
Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
41% chance
Trump's last international trip
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
29% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump visit China during his term?
95% chance
What month will Trump next visit China?
Will Trump visit Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai during his second term?
61% chance
Trump visits Australia in second term?
10% chance
Will Trump visit Mexico during his term?
25% chance
Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
41% chance
Trump's last international trip
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
29% chance