Grokipedia v1 before Dec 15?
20
1kṀ8973in 6 hours
2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES if Grokipedia v1 (aka 1.0/GA) is publicly released (general access, no waitlist/invite) on or before Dec 15, 2025, 23:59 PT, evidenced by any of:
Official posts from @xai or @elonmusk;
Pages/posts on grokipedia.com, xai.com, or grok.com;
grokipedia.com v1 live and publicly usable.
NO otherwise.
Notes: Closed alpha/beta, waitlists, teasers, or press/rumors don’t count. A different name only counts if official channels say it is Grokipedia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Grok 5 released before March 31?
62% chance
Grokipedia props
The Economist mentions "Grokipedia" by EOY 2025?
32% chance
English articles on Grokipedia by end of 2025?
1.4m
Will manifold.markets have its own Grokipedia article by EOY2026?
73% chance
What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release?