Bitcoin $200K in 2025?
Bitcoin $200K in 2025?
44
1kṀ22k2026
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $200,000 USD at any point in 2025, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year. If Bitcoin does not hit $200K during 2025, the market resolves “No.”
Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2025, at 23:59 PST, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses $200K at any time during the year.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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