Will SpaceX be more valuable than Tesla by the end of 2025 | Manifold

Will SpaceX be more valuable than Tesla by the end of 2025

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1kṀ10k

Dec 31

1.3%

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If they both are public companies, the market will resolve to YES if SpaceX has a higher market cap and NO if Tesla has a higher market cap. If either is private, it will resolve based on secondary prices. If both are bankrupt, market resolves to n/a

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Got close, SpaceX raising at $800 billion. IPO in 2026. That will get interesting. SpaceX after IPO $2 trillion. How much Tesla robotaxi?

predictedNO

SpaceX current valuation is 137 billion. Tesla’s is 354 billion. I would guess the base rate of two companies with those valuations flipping over a 3-year period is pretty low.

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