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MANIFOLD
Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
2027
54%
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If we get AI that can predict future better than all humans eg. if deployed on Manifold no human would be able to generate long term profit, will it also be AGI?

This will resolve NO if someone makes an AI that is better at predicting the future than any human before we get AGI.

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People can still compete here, even if the silicon league somehow has a more profitable first place than the master league.

@AlanTennant the bots aren't predicting the future though; they're doing some weird arbitrage strategy or something

Are you taking into account insider trading?