This market resolves YES if there is credible reporting from financial news sources that OpenAI's valuation has decreased by 10% or more specifically attributed to the lawsuit filed by Ann Altman against Sam Altman, at any point between now and June 1, 2025.
The market resolves NO if no such decrease is reported by June 1, 2025, or if decreases in valuation are not specifically attributed to the lawsuit.
Resolution will be based on reporting from financial news sources such as Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, or similar reputable outlets.
Sources: https://fortune.com/2025/01/08/openai-sam-altman-sister-rape-sexual-abuse-court-case-lawsuit/ https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2025-03-10/elon-musk-sam-altman-openai-xai
Background
This market concerns a potential lawsuit by Ann Altman (Sam Altman's sister) against Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, and its possible impact on OpenAI's valuation. The lawsuit allegedly involves serious personal accusations against Sam Altman.
It's important to note that as of current information, there is no confirmed lawsuit by Ann Altman against Sam Altman that has impacted OpenAI's valuation. The market is speculating on a potential future event.
OpenAI is one of the leading AI companies globally, with recent valuations reportedly in the range of $80-100 billion. As a private company, its valuation is determined through funding rounds and private transactions.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if:
Credible financial news sources (Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, or similar reputable outlets) report that OpenAI's valuation has decreased by 10% or more
The decrease is specifically attributed to the lawsuit filed by Ann Altman against Sam Altman
This occurs at any point between now and June 1, 2025
This market will resolve NO if:
No such decrease in valuation is reported by June 1, 2025
Decreases in OpenAI's valuation occur but are not specifically attributed to the Ann Altman lawsuit
The decrease attributed to the lawsuit is less than 10%
Considerations
Valuation changes for private companies like OpenAI are typically determined through funding rounds, secondary market transactions, or formal company announcements
For the market to resolve YES, news sources must explicitly connect the valuation decrease to the lawsuit, not just coincidental timing
Other factors that could affect OpenAI's valuation during this period include competitive pressures, regulatory changes, technical setbacks, or broader market conditions
1,000