Will future versions of Grok be open sourced?
Will future versions of Grok be open sourced?
10
180Ṁ305Jul 1
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Official Announcement from the xai team or the grok handle on X for a YES resolution.
Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Date Update:
The market will now resolve on June 30, 2025.
This is the definitive date for determining the outcome, even though the market’s scheduled closure is on July 1, 2025.
Any official announcement from the xai team or the grok handle on X that meets the original YES criteria and is available by this date will trigger a YES resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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