Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025? | Manifold

Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?

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Resolves based on the number in the WHO World malaria report. https://www.who.int/teams/global-malaria-programme/reports In 2020 the number was 627 000.
2021: 619 000

Update 2026-06-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the 2026 WHO World Malaria Report (covering 2025 data), as the report typically appears late in the year.

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resolves no World malaria report 2025

World malaria report 2025

Each year, WHO’s World malaria report provides a comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of trends in malaria control and elimination across the globe

bought Ṁ13 NO

@strutheo ah might need to wait for 2026 report

@strutheo yes, it seems to usually show up quite late in the year.

2025? Or 2023? I see this market is set to end at the close of the year?

predictedYES

@shankypanky 2025. I started this before I really had come to grips with how manifold worked. Wanted do make it more of a "prediction competition" that's why I thought it would be more fun to have people predict a few years in advance.

Changing the resolution date now.

related:

Some nice charts: https://ourworldindata.org/malaria

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Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

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Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

When will tuberculosis kill less than 1 million people a year?

Related questions

Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?

Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

When will tuberculosis kill less than 1 million people a year?