Will resolve to NO if and only if I intentionally eat non-vegan food at some point before 12:00 AM EST on January 1st, 2027.
For simplicity, this market only concerns my diet, and not e.g. purchasing leather (unless I eat it afterwards).
Eating the following will NOT be sufficient for the market to resolve NO: clams, oysters, scallops, and similarly simple animals, as long as I am sufficiently confident they're not sentient that I judge eating them to be morally justifiable; lab-grown meat; honey, if I change my mind on whether eating it is justifiable; vitamins and drugs
Eating the following WILL be sufficient to resolve NO: non-human animal flesh, gelatin, dairy, and eggs, except as specified above. (This list is not exhaustive.)
Eating animal products on accident will not be sufficient for NO. If I put animal products in my mouth and only afterwards realize I've done so, my swallowing what I've already put in my mouth will not be sufficient for NO.
Helpful information about me: I've been consistently vegetarian for about 7 years now. I've been consistently vegan since October of 2024, and as far as I can recall, I have satisfied the above conditions since then. Before then, I had lapsed veganism a couple times, but I had never been as consistent as I am now for nearly as long. I'm pretty outspoken about veganism now, and I have one friend who I know would be quite disappointed in me were I to stop being vegan, so there's incentive not to falter.
I will not be betting in this market.
Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve to NO shortly after the conditions are met (i.e., after intentionally eating non-vegan food). Until then, the market remaining open indicates the creator is still maintaining their vegan diet.
Update 2026-03-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding dairy and gelatin: eating food containing these ingredients unknowingly does not count toward NO resolution. Eating them knowingly will resolve NO.
Factory contamination (e.g., "may contain dairy" warnings) does not count — only having dairy/gelatin as an actual ingredient matters.
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@DylanRichardson Pretty careful. If I buy food that has dairy or gelatin and I eat it without knowing, that doesn’t count; if I do eat it while knowing, then the market will resolve no.
“Contains dairy” means having it as an ingredient for me. I don’t care about factory contamination or whatever.
@morallawwithin ok cool, keep at it! Personally I find the ambiguity to be in "did I check or not", as sometimes I knowingly don't bother when there is nonetheless a 5% or so chance. Perhaps you being a Kantian and not a Utilitarian is the difference!
@MachiNi Great; if the conditions are ever met I’ll shortly resolve “No,” so otherwise you can assume I’m going strong!