[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
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Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If TikTok is banned before 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Same comment as on similar markets: The bill currently working through congress would only ban the app after a year. Court challenges could delay this. It seems unlikely to me that a different bill would supersede this one, or that Biden would ban by executive order while legislation was pending. I think this is a NO.
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