MANIFOLD
First drone murder in Russia
17
Ṁ1kṀ15k
resolved Dec 25
100%92%
2025-Q1
0.6%
2024-Q3
0.7%
2024-Q4
1.1%
2025-Q2
1.3%
2025-Q3
1.8%
2025-Q4
1.6%
Not by EOY 2025
0.7%
Happened before the question was posted

Recently we saw firearms (normally highly regulated) murder (presumed assasination) in Moscow with perpetrator returned from Ukraine war.

It seems like earlier or later we will see a returning drone operator applying their skills at home, or someone inspired by frontline innovations.

Obviously war casualties excluded, incident needs to be internal to Russia, even not 'Legion of Russian freedom', not on annexed territories, etc.

Since the market requires a modicum of interpreting intent and media reports, not trading myself.

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