Who will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue arrest warrants for in 2024?
27
Ṁ180Ṁ5.6kresolved Jan 4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.2%
Both members of Hamas and the Israeli government
0.2%
Members of Hamas, but no one from the Israeli government
0.1%
No members of Hamas, but someone from the Israeli government
0.6%
Neither members of Hamas nor the Israeli government
Context: Israeli Officials Believe International Court Is Preparing Arrest Warrants Over War
Note: Arrest warrants must be in connection to the October 7th attacks, or the Gazan War which followed, or future offshoots of the war. This must be mentioned in the terms/announcement of the arrest warrant(s).
This will Resolve when members of both organizations have been charged, or after December 31st.
See related market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ334 | |
| 2 | Ṁ195 | |
| 3 | Ṁ61 | |
| 4 | Ṁ33 | |
| 5 | Ṁ24 |
People are also trading
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?
52% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
46% chance
Will the ICC officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials on the grounds of genocide?
32% chance
Will Duterte be convicted by the ICC before 2030?
48% chance
Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026?
40% chance
Will the International Criminal Court (ICC) rule that Donald Trump is a war criminal at anytime during his current term?
19% chance
Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2026?
2% chance
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?
14% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?
52% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
46% chance
Will the ICC officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials on the grounds of genocide?
32% chance
Will Duterte be convicted by the ICC before 2030?
48% chance
Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026?
40% chance
Will the International Criminal Court (ICC) rule that Donald Trump is a war criminal at anytime during his current term?
19% chance
Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2026?
2% chance
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?
14% chance