On the 12th anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea, will the Russia-Ukraine war still be ongoing?
21
Ṁ240Ṁ838Mar 19
74%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On the twelfth anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea (Mar 18th, 2026), will the Russo-Ukrainian War still be ongoing (determined by Wikipedia status)?
See other war anniversary markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
16% chance
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
89% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
36% chance
Will Russo-Ukrainian war begin again within 10 years of ending?
By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?
9% chance
Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?
10% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
37% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
82% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end on December 31st or January 1st of any year?
1% chance