The cost of any LLM model's training cost exceeds Gemini Ultra's $191M by end of 2025

5

Ṁ100Ṁ335

resolved Jun 7

Resolved

YES

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This market tracks whether the next major AI model released after GPT-4 will have higher training costs than Google's Gemini Ultra.

Resolution Criteria:

YES if publicly reported training costs exceed $191M
NO if costs are lower or not reported by end of 2025

References:

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Isn't this guaranteed to be true given what we know about soon to be released models' costs such as this one about gpt-5: "Training it costs a staggering $500 million per attempt [...]" https://www.notebookcheck.net/GPT-5-development-hits-major-setbacks-as-OpenAI-runs-out-of-training-data.937049.0.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com

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