How many billion-dollar climate disasters will affect the United States in 2024?
Plus
19
Ṁ1322Jan 9
0.7%
27
1.9%
28
2%
29
9%
30
87%
Resolved via https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/
In 2023 it was 28. See /knowledgeispower/by-the-end-of-2023-how-many-billion .
Close date might be extended if the NCEI publication isn't available yet. It was Jan 9th for the previous year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@DavidFWatson Yes, eventually. I trying to figure out in which direction though. Currently, it seems people would rather bet on higher numbers. Added "30" for now.
@marktwse So, that's not unreasonable, but perhaps going forward you might create further answers as ranges? So like: 20-26 and 31-35?
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the total cost of US extreme weather disasters in 2024?
Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2040?
78% chance
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
44% chance
Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
3% chance
[Climate Change] How much global warming will we have by the end of 2024?
1.3
Will there be more recorded forest fires in the US and Canada in 2024 than 2023?
52% chance
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
41% chance
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
4% chance
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
17% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance