
What would the average IQ difference of black and white US citizens be if we perfectly controlled for environment?
73
Never closes
>1 IQ point
<=1 IQ point
Got reminded of this question by a bunch of people linking old IQ markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Sort by:
1 IQ point is so small, even this effect https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1724890161228685463 would cause such a thing, under the assumption that there were 0 genetic differences in the 1970s.
This study from the late 1970s https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0160289682900022?via%3Dihub would predict that the gap would increase by 0.8 points per generation. It's been >1.25 generations since the late 1970s, even if a generation is 35 years.
Conditional on there not being such a difference now, it's very likely there was a difference in favor of black people in the past.