Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?
16
แน1kแน1.4k2030
80%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one Artemis III astronaut successfully sets foot on the lunar surface, and all Artemis III astronauts return safely to Earth. If the first Artemis crewed lunar landing is moved from Artemis III to a different Artemis mission, this question will resolve based on the result of that mission instead.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?
87% chance
When will Artemis II launch?
4/9/26
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
62% chance
Will SLS be used for Artemis 3 as planned?
76% chance
Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?
55% chance
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
96% chance
Will Artemis III launch before 2027?
1% chance
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
7% chance
How many rocket launches will be needed for the Artemis III human moon-landing mission?
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
50% chance