Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
18
Ṁ125Ṁ293Dec 31
28%
OpenAI
42%
Google
19%
Anthropic
3%
Harmonic
8%
Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
64% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
45% chance
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
39% chance
Will two Millennium Prize problems be solved in the same year?
41% chance
Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
59% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance
In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
2031
In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
6% chance