Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?
9
Ṁ125Ṁ601Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
92%
Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)
48%
Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)
Options resolve Yes if any UK cabinet minister resigns in the corresponding timeframe.
Multiple options can resolve Yes if ministers resign in more than one timeframe. Any option covers the (plausible) event that none resign in 2026.
If government dissolves this will be treated as a resignation.
Full list of cabinet ministers available here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@leaflitter
Rachel reeves resigned right? 20 Jul 2026
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks-rachel-reeves-resigns-finance-minister-2026-07-20/
Rachel Reeves - Wikipedia
End of tenure
On 20 July 2026, Reeves tenure as Chancellor ended as Andy Burnham took office and appointed a new cabinet. She reportedly turned down another "big job" in the Burnham government and instead chose to return to the backbenches.