
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
54
2.3kṀ16k2033
1%
2026
2%
2027
14%
2028
41%
2029
66%
2030
76%
2031
80%
2032
86%
2033
92%
2034
Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.
The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive. That's all that matters.
i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
4% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2026?
1% chance
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
35% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
13% chance
Will a human step on the moon before 2026?
3% chance
Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
1% chance
Will the Moon land on humans by 2028?
2% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
14% chance