OpenAI's next major AI model will be more open than GPT-4 by June 30, 2025
7
1kṀ432Jun 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
More open than GPT-4
52%
Same level of openness as GPT-4
23%
Less open than GPT-4
This market predicts the level of openness of OpenAI's next major AI model compared to GPT-4.
Resolution Criteria: Compare the licensing and accessibility of the next model with GPT-4's current closed approach.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@mods The creator is not active anymore, what model will GPT-4 be compared to, and what will the resolution criteria be? Does it matter that current models less open because the GPT-4 paper was pretty detailed and now we get just blog posts or does it only matter that they are API accessible and the license is the same?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025
58% chance
Will OpenAI Publicly Release GPT-5 on or before 1st Jan 2026?
93% chance
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
OpenAI updates custom GPTs by EOY2025
63% chance
Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?
17% chance
When will OpenAI release GPT-5?
9/7/25