Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
6
Ṁ177Ṁ1.4k2100
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
55%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2027)
30%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2026)
Resolves annually to Metaculus' community prediction. Feel free to add new years and integer thresholds in a matching format.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
98% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
84% chance
Will humans go extinct before 2100? [Resolves to Metaculus in 2027]
3% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
41% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
50% chance
Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
37% chance
[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
75% chance
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
59% chance
Will humanity go extinct before 2030?
2% chance
Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?
72% chance