Based on Moore's Law For Everything there is this phrase...

"AI will lower the cost of goods and services, because labor is the driving cost at many levels of the supply chain."

When will this happen?

This Market will resolve Yes when there is a clear trend in CPI data (3-6 months of decreases in prices) or there is a general consensus from experts that the market is getting cheaper.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES when there is clear evidence that AI has reduced the cost of goods and services. Resolution requires one of the following:

1. CPI deflation trend: Three to six consecutive months of declining Consumer Price Index data across major economies (tracked via U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, OECD, or equivalent national sources), demonstrating sustained price decreases attributable to AI-driven cost reductions.

2. Expert consensus: Broad agreement from major economic institutions, research firms (McKinsey, BCG, Stanford HAI), or central banks that AI has materially reduced consumer prices for goods and services in their published reports or statements.

The market resolves NO if neither condition is met by the resolution date.

• Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on goods getting cheaper relative to inflation, not nominal price decreases. CPI data broken down by category will be used to capture this relative decrease.