Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?

108

1.1kṀ11k

2029

47%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

AGI existence is determined by general consensus

Resolves to YES if general consensus of those who interact with the potential AGI is that it is AGI.

Resolves to NO if after 5 years (January 19 2029) it has not resolved to YES.

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