How many seats will Pieter Omtzigt's NSC have in the Dutch House of Representatives after the next general election?
10
400Ṁ3313
2027
1%
At least 5
1%
At least 35
1%
At least 10
1%
At least 30
1%
At least 25

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Social_Contract

https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/

Note that this is an unlinked market: all correct answers will resolve YES. I'll add higher options if the highest existing option is above 15% consistently.

Nederland
Elections: World
2023 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 NO

Persumably this still counts as NSC even though it's no longer 'Pieter Omtzigt's NSC' because he resigned from politics.

Also, how will this resolve if NSC ceases to exist or merges with another party to become a fusion party not called NSC? Everything will resolve to NO?

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy