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Will the Supreme Court rule on a case relating to the copyright status of AI model outputs before 2028?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ209
2027
59%
chance

Will resolve “yes” if the Supreme Court accepts and issues an opinion on the merits of a case presenting a question relating to the copyright status of text, images, video, etc. created by AI models before 2028 . Will resolve “no” otherwise.

As what “relates to” this question might be subjective in some cases, I won’t bet in this market. I will answer clarifying questions as needed.

  • Update 2026-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Court declining to hear a case (e.g., denying certiorari) does not count. Resolution requires the Court to issue an opinion on the merits.

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@ProjectVictory No, declining to hear a case doesn't count. The resolution criteria is limited to cases for which the Court issues an opinion on the merits.

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