YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch. Otherwise, NO.
Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AI model predicts NO, creating a logical paradox where no consistent resolution exists, the creator will resolve the market to N/A (canceling the market and returning all mana to traders).
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Criteria seems underspecified. if the LLM predicts YES then you could resolve Yes or NO without contradiction: if resolved YES then it was the right prediction and the correct resolution, or if resolved NO then it's true that the prediction was wrong, again the correct resolution. So a self-resolving market.
However, if it predicts NO it forces you into a contradiction: you can't resolve YES to make it a wrong prediction, since then it's a misresolution (if the prediction were wrong then this market must resolve NO per the criteria). Similarly if you instead choose to resolve it NO then the LLM prediction was correct and the correct resolution per the criteria should've been YES. So, you can't ever resolve, even resolving N/A or PROB makes the NO prediction wrong, which by the criteria requires a NO resolution instead of N/A.
I guess the LLM might try to avoid the liar's paradox by guessing YES and letting you choose, or maybe it'll enjoy putting you in a pickle, either way it's underspecified.