When will construction begin on Brightline West?
When will construction begin on Brightline West?
15
871Ṁ16kresolved Apr 23
100%99.8%
April 2024
0.0%
January 2024
0.0%
February 2024
0.0%
March 2024
0.0%
Never
0.0%
May 2024
0.1%Other
This market will only close when construction begins or if the project is cancelled.
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Ground-breaking was this morning. Should resolve as "April 2024"? @jks
https://twitter.com/SecretaryPete/status/1782395265078436114
Brightline West updated and extended "geophysical testing" to March 22.
https://www.brightlinewest.com/media/press-releases/2024/new-locations-to-field-investigation-work-in-southern-california-and-nevada
Brightline West began field investigation in preparation for groundbreaking. Field investigation will continue through March 14.
https://www.brightlinewest.com/media/press-releases/2024/brightline-west-launches-field-work-in-nevada-in-preparation-for
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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