Will GPT-5.2 reach 1500 on LMArena (no style-control)

Ṁ100Ṁ1.5k

resolved Jan 4

Resolved

ALL

resolve based on this:

https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Will use the first GPT-5.2 to enter the leaderboard's debut score

Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple versions of GPT-5.2 appear on the leaderboard (e.g., gpt-5.2 and gpt-5.2-high), the market will resolve based on the higher scoring version.

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bought Ṁ1,094 NO

@jim ris'uvis E"

oops. resolves NO

@Bayesian I like how Google is just taking over the entire top 10. Please make a market on what proportion of the top ten will be google models on June 1 2026