Who will have the most negative referred profit on Manifold at the end of 2024?
8
Ṁ331Ṁ79resolved Jan 2
As @ByrneHobart puts it: Dumb money makes smart markets.
Who will contribute the most to Manifold's accuracy?
The referred profits statistic is available on the leaderboard for top referrers.
Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
If an unnamed referrer achieves the highest negative referred profit, the market will be resolved to "Other".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
memestiny is at -Ṁ2,307,531
EliezerYudowsky is at +Ṁ418,040
QuantumObserver is at +Ṁ109,952
firstuserhere is banned.
Since at least one unnamed option beats all other explicitly given options, I'm resolving to "Other"
I still think negative referrals is net good! We can't all be sharks.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next #1 Manifold trader to hit zero?
Will I ever be net positive (real money) on Manifold before 2030?
96% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
30% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2040?
57% chance
Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
23% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Most profitable Manifold user at end of 2026
What will be my position on the Manifold profit leaderboard at the end of 2026?
38.1