Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency. The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.

Prices denominated in USD.

Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
(For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)

The market will resolve N/A if:

• No purchase occurs before January 2029

• The purchase is structured in a way that makes the total price unclear (e.g., complex trade agreements or resource-sharing arrangements)

• The deal includes significant non-monetary components that substantially affect the true value

• Greenland is taken by force

• Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): $0 purchase price does NOT count as "no purchase" - if the US acquires Greenland for $0 (e.g., as a gift), this market will resolve to the < $1000 option, not N/A. The market only resolves N/A if no purchase/acquisition occurs at all.

• Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial purchases do not count - The market requires a transfer of sovereignty over Greenland as a self-governing territory, not acquisition of specific geographic parcels or assets within Greenland.

• Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If sovereignty is transferred conditional on a payment, the market will resolve to the amount paid, regardless of whether it's an outright purchase or a purchase that occurs after some kind of conflict.