Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
8
Ṁ1kṀ9242027
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the S&P 500 posts a daily gain or loss of more than 5% (close to close). I'll use https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data or a similar data source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
29% chance
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
70% chance
2026 U.S. Stock Market: How will the S&P500 performance in 2026?
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
51% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in 2026 or 2027?
18% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
35% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?
15% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?
50% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
28% chance