Will there be fewer than 2 Russian cosmonauts in the International Space Station crew in December 2025?
23
1kṀ1512
2026
36%
chance

Background: Russia says it is planning to withdraw from the International Space Station after 2024. https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/world/russia-quit-iss-scn/index.html

Resolves YES if there are 1 or fewer Russian cosmonauts in the International Space Station crew on December 31 2025.

See https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/expeditions/index.html or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_International_Space_Station_expeditions for information on the ISS crew.

Jul 28, 6:38pm: Related: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-international-space-statio

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