Will the ๐บ๐ธ 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled?
25
1kแน46812028
90%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.
Early or mail-in voting before that date does not affect resolution. Minor local delays (e.g., weather or logistical issues) do not count as postponement if the national Election Day proceeds as scheduled.
Resolves NO if the election is postponed, canceled, or moved to a different date. Resolution will be based on announcements from official U.S. election authorities and confirmation by major media outlets.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get  1,000 to start trading!
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will be elected president in 2028?
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
66% chance
Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?
80% chance
Will the 2028 US Presidential Election occur as scheduled?
87% chance
Will the 2028 presidential election happen?
90% chance
Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
70% chance
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Sort by:
@AlanTennant the US has held presidential elections every four years on the Tuesday after the first Monday of November since 1848.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be elected president in 2028?
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
66% chance
Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?
80% chance
Will the 2028 US Presidential Election occur as scheduled?
87% chance
Will the 2028 presidential election happen?
90% chance
Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
70% chance
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?