Will EITHER US AI regulation or AI misuse (by user) cause significant crash/decline in a tech (AI) stock price in 2024? | Manifold

Will EITHER US AI regulation or AI misuse (by user) cause significant crash/decline in a tech (AI) stock price in 2024?

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Let's define a significant decline as -25+% in the span of two weeks, for any one of the following NVDA, GOOG, MSFT, AMD, AMZN, TSLA, ADBE, AAPL (and others within reason) reasonably linked to regulation or user misuse. Includes GPU export/manufacturing restrictions. Please correct with reasonable fixes to this question.

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Does "misuse" include accidents/alignment failures like the ones AI safety ppl are worried about?

@MilfordHammerschmidt Ah, good point. In misuse here, I would include "model assistance for cyberattacks and chem/bio/radiological/nuclear threats" but not a misaligned "persuasive model" or "autonomous model" (language ~from openai preparedness framework). What would accidents mean--or anything else I'm still missing?

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