Who will be responsible for the next space fatality? | Manifold

Who will be responsible for the next space fatality?

13

Ṁ150Ṁ361

2030

46%

ISRO

36%

Roscosmos

31%

NASA

17%

Boeing

13%

Blue Origin

12%

Virgin Galactic

12%

SpaceX

12%

Axion

11%

CNSA

1: I'm counting any in-flight accident of orbital or sub-orbital capable craft. The 2014 VSS Entreprise crash would count for example, even if it was a test-flight.

2: Two entities might share responsibility (lets say SpaceX and NASA for example) if flight operations are not managed by the craft constructor

Market context

Commercial spaceflight

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@hidetzugu can you edit the option Axion to spell Axiom, as I think that is what you meant...?

reposted

Added ISRO. Just noting that this comes up to a probability of what, 257 or something percent. And there can only be one.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Just to dilute the above somewhat. A over 100 % probability sum is defensible, considering the possibility of collaborations like for example Axiom

bought Ṁ25 NO

Added Axion since they schedule to run operations of an SpaceX flight this year

bought Ṁ5 NO

What if NASA is flying on a Boeing spacecraft? Do both Resolve YES?

sold Ṁ9 NO

@mattyb correct, added to description

People are also trading

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2040?

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Which nationality will the next person who dies during a spaceflight belong to?

When will the next terminal launch of an orbital rocket that results in a fatality occur?

Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?

Will anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?

When will the next human die in space (above the Karman line)?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

Will there be someone intentionally killed in space before the end of 2100 (according to main stream media)?

Related questions

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2040?

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Which nationality will the next person who dies during a spaceflight belong to?

When will the next terminal launch of an orbital rocket that results in a fatality occur?

Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?

Will anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?

When will the next human die in space (above the Karman line)?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

Will there be someone intentionally killed in space before the end of 2100 (according to main stream media)?