Will Manifold Markets introduce leveraged betting by Dec 31, 2025?
8
100Ṁ1106
Dec 31
4%
chance

This market predicts whether Manifold Markets will introduce a feature allowing users to choose multiplication factor and place leveraged bets (bets with borrowed funds or multiplied returns) by the end of 2025.

Leveraged betting would allow users to amplify their potential returns (and risks) beyond their current mana balance.

Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to YES if Manifold Markets officially announces or implements any form of leveraged betting functionality on their platform before December 31, 2025. This includes features like leverage multipliers, or any system that allows users to bet more than their available mana balance and choose multiplication factor(there should be at least x2 option). Resolution will be based on official announcements from Manifold Markets' website, blog, social media, or documentation.

  • Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Leveraged Betting Resolution Update:

    • Bets must allow users to choose a multiplication factor.

    • The functionality must include at least a x2 multiplier option.

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opened a Ṁ50 NO at 20% order

Betting more mana than you own will decrease the prediction accuracy by allowing users without good track record to bet large values, swaying the market. It'll also force you to go into large negatives if you loose the bet, essentially forcing you to remake your account.

What exactly is the upside here?

1mo

I am guessing this is a cloned market from last year, given that the dates are in the past

1mo

@JussiVilleHeiskanen fixed. i have generated it by llms of manifold

1mo

Do we not already have this with the daily loans system?

1mo

@Fion added in the describtion that user should be able to choose multiplication factor and there should be at least x2 option

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