
Will there be a NY State AI Safety bill in 2025?
22
Ṁ1kṀ12kresolved Dec 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this: https://www.govtech.com/artificial-intelligence/n-y-state-bill-could-revive-dead-california-ai-bill
Resolves YES if a bill on AI safety or AI regulation (such as the RAISE Act or similar legislation) is signed into law in New York State during the calendar year 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ830 | |
| 2 | Ṁ368 | |
| 3 | Ṁ272 | |
| 4 | Ṁ225 | |
| 5 | Ṁ144 |
People are also trading
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
23% chance
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
54% chance
Will AI safety and regulation be mandatory training courses for students working with AI by the year 2035 under Federal Law?
20% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
79% chance
By 2028, will an AI safety evaluation become a mandatory requirement for autonomous vehicle manufacturers?
73% chance
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
36% chance
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
80% chance
Sort by:
Passed 119-22 in the assembly, 58-1 in the senate. That seems like > 50% odds the governer signs it. Definitely above 36.
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
23% chance
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
54% chance
Will AI safety and regulation be mandatory training courses for students working with AI by the year 2035 under Federal Law?
20% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
79% chance
By 2028, will an AI safety evaluation become a mandatory requirement for autonomous vehicle manufacturers?
73% chance
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
36% chance
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
80% chance