Which of these presidents will die first?
30
Ṁ125Ṁ945Dec 31
23%
Donald Trump
53%
Joe Biden
15%
George W. Bush
8%
Bill Clinton
2%
Self-explanatory. Bet on which former president dies first. Resolves when one of these passes away. Will resolve Other if another former president dies that is not listed.
I will not bet in this market.
Update 2025-12-04: Bill Clinton has been added to the market as a fourth president option.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Which living current/former US president will die first?
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Who will die first? Trump or Biden?
Who dies first: Trump or Biden?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which living current/former US president will die first?
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Who will die first? Trump or Biden?
Who dies first: Trump or Biden?