Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?
Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?
8
3kṀ2300
Dec 31
41%
chance

My PB is 53:57, set in May 2024. Before that it was 56:24 set in Mar 2024 and 57:00 set in August 2023. I dropped off at the second half of the year last year but did ~560km overall last year. This year i plan to be a lot more consistent, and structured, with a goal of a sub-45 10k. Will I manage?

I'll provide regular updates as the year goes along and answer any trader questions. I'll only trade YES in this market.

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lil update from Garmin

I am at ~89kg now

1mo

will be following and good luck! similar market of mine:

https://manifold.markets/CrypticQccZ/how-fast-will-i-run-in-the-5k-by-au-0AA2ShCstE

slightly less mileage this week but my zone 2 run was noticeably more efficient and less boring

my first interval training of the year - 6x400 at pretty much max effort with 2m cooldown. Tapped out after the 5th interval (2km). I'm basically proposing to hold a pace slightly lower than this for 25 intervals which is...idk

pretty consistent week capped by a long run where i tried to stick to zone 2 as much as possible even though it bored me to tears. also lost ~1.1kg this week

boughtṀ300NO

@CrissmanLoomis is back with the kuyashii fuel

2mo

@diadematus Mustered any 2.5 or 5k runs?

@Tarl haven't been too consistent because of some travel but I'm just beginning to pick up some steam. My initial goal is to establish good consistency and to try and grind Zone 2s and see what comes of it. Then I'll maybe start incorporating some speedwork in March. I'm also currently losing ~0.5kg/week so far so things are not too shabby

bought Ṁ250 NO2mo

As someone with a PB just around the 50 min mark I can promise you that those remaining 5 minutes are real rough. Might actually set up some derivative market of this to add some motivation towards a sub-45 myself.

@Tarl please do! a head to head competition would definitely spice things up myself. you're right that going from 50 to 45 is a huge slog but i think i have some huge potential upside - I'm ~90kg now so if I lose ~5-10kg during the year that will make a huge difference. My current PB is also entirely from sporadic, inconsistent activity so I want to think some consistency will lead to easy gains

2mo

@diadematus market created

@Tarl nice. you're probably a slight favorite but only just. i haven't run a 10k in ~2 months but pretty sure if I did now I would be at around ~53 mins. we'll see

@Tarl i'll also use this market as my sort of progress diary every ~2 weeks

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