regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted. Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): EPM (Estimated Plus/Minus) will resolve based on actual EPM, not expected EPM.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Celtics make the playoffs, followed by SGA wins MVP and Warriors miss the playoffs are most likely. See the market for live updates (33 traders, as of Mar 20, 2026).

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

MANIFOLD

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

Ṁ1.3kṀ7.1k

Jun 21

99%

Celtics make the playoffs

95%

SGA wins MVP

93%

Warriors miss the playoffs

88%

Victor Wembanyama plays at least 58 games

85%

Pistons are first seed in the East

80%

Lakers are a top 3 seed in the Western Conference

79%

SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season

79%

OKC Thunder win less than 66 games

55%

SGA leads the league in total free throws

51%

At least two 70-point+ games

49%

At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)

46%

Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference

34%

Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)

34%

Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team

30%

At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts

19%

Rudy Gobert wins DPOY

18%

Chet Holmgren wins DPOY

17%

Sixers make the playoffs

13%

Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA

13%

At least 2 players make at least 300 threes

regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments

Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted.