Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of June 2026?

Question

Will the closing value of the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to the amount listed in each market on June 30th  2026?

I will use https://finance.yahoo.com/ as the official record to resolve the market.

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1. S&P 500 at the end of the year
2. Interruptions of another shipping choke point (which would affect the S&P 500). 
3. AI bubble pop

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, S&P500 ≥ 7100, followed by S&P500 ≥ 7200 and S&P500 ≥ 7300 are most likely. See the market for live updates (21 traders, as of Jun 25, 2026).

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