MANIFOLD
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
7
Ṁ1kṀ2.7k
2027
98.4%
x ≥ 750
87%
x ≥ 1000
78%
x ≥ 1500
69%
x ≥ 2000
56%
x ≥ 2500
47%
x ≥ 3000
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 250
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 500

How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?

If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES. Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO. The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.

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bought Ṁ387 YES

@traders, line goes up! We are at 518.

@traders, the reported measles cases has exceeded the threshold of 250.

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