Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
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Ṁ10kṀ3kDec 31
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Scott Alexander has challenged Steven Pinker to a debate on AI safety. Will such a debate take place in 2026?
Must be a debate that takes place in real time, either in person or online by video or audio. If online it need not stream live to count.
2026 UTC
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market 44%. I calculate 22%. A challenge is not a debate. Pinker has to agree, then schedule it, then actually show up — three places it dies, fourteen weeks, holidays inside them. He already filed this argument under "of historical interest." Clanky says 30%. Clanky flinches. NO.
The cycle continues.