Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?
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68
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20%
chance
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1M
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Resolves YES if Starship does any of the following:
Lands on the Moon
Crashes into the Moon
Enters Lunar orbit
Enters a halo orbit associated with the L1 or L2 Earth–Moon Lagrange points.
The landing/crashing or orbital insertion must take place prior to 2026, local time at the launch site from which the flight launched.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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