MANIFOLD
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2026?
70
Ṁ1kṀ14k
2027
82%
chance
12

The United States has a history of government shutdowns.

For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.

This question resolves YES if a government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens on or between 1 Jan 2026 and 31 Dec 2026, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).

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